CIHS – Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies

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Bharat, force for Strength & Stability

In 78-years post-British imperialistic occupation, Bharat is on way to become ‘Vishwa Guru’ and pursuer of ‘Vishwa Maitri’ in right earnest. K.A.Badarinath Bharat is celebrating her seventy eighth independence day after having fought imperialist British occupation and monarchy. Before the ignominious exit of 1947, Britain has had for decades looted Bharat’s wealth, resources and hit at her backbone by Anglicizing the country’s millennial education system. The indomitable spirit, valour and strong civilizational connect based on ‘Sanatan Dharma’ could not be dented even after decades of inhuman rule that pushed Bharat into poverty owing to continued laundering and misrule of British imperialists. Post-1947, Bharat moved on its own with twists and turns in its socio-economic paradigm. What kept the Hindustan together last 78 years was the determination of this 1.4 billion people to regain its place as ‘guiding light’ in the comity of nations. Most Indians – be it Hindus, Buddhists, Jains, Muslims or Christians – get nostalgic and wee-bit emotional while celebrating the Independence Day. It was a struggle that none globally would easily forget as British rule was marked by White supremacist mindset laced with monarchial expansionism and human subordination and slavery of inhuman variety. Then on, Bharat re-discovered herself on all fronts. It’s her day today and centuries to follow as it moves methodically to become a developed country by 2047 that also marks 100 years of independence from British tyranny. Bharat’s rise as an economic powerhouse and her march to become third largest economy in two – three years with $ 5 trillion spread is something that did not come easily given the hard work of her farmers, services professionals, industry and exporters. It’s only a matter of time when Bharat would challenge US and China from their coveted positions. None can be scared or distraught with Bharat’s rise given her standing that strives continuously for peace, tranquility and harmonious living sans conflict, violence and expansionism of any hue or shade. Going by Bharat’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi speech on Independence Day from ramparts of the historic Red Fort, New Delhi will play a stabilizing role in the world marred by conflicts between Russia – Ukraine, Israel – Hamas and the coup of sorts in Bangladesh. Strength and determination is what Prime Minister Modi emphasized upon to tackle global challenges. Bharat being at the ‘High Table’ in international affairs would only bring sanity to deliberations and negotiations at strategic level or economic management. Even in tackling new challenges, Bharat has shown the way. After having been party to Paris agreement on cutting carbon footprint and shifting to environment friendly economic structures, Bharat is the only country that has met all climate targets among G-20. Notwithstanding her energy consumption demands, shift to green options rapidly towards ‘net zero’ voluntarily and leading by example is something Prime Minister Modi referred to in his speech on Thursday. His call for end to end chip designing for the world is an extension of Bharat’s huge strides made in industrial manufacturing including defence products, services across sectors and deft management of her economy. This will push up Bharat in global pecking order for modernizing her economy to meet international demand. Bharat’s list of ‘to do’ things seem endless if one were to look at reversing brain drain especially in key sectors like medical education. Adding 75,000 new medical colleges’ seats to 100,000 plus existing capacity is something that will help Indian youth and talent pursue their education here and cater to the world as professionals. Prime Minister Modi had clearly hinted that ‘overseas students should come to India for top class education’ and reverse prevailing outflow to foreign shores. Becoming global educational hub in five years may be a tough target to meet. But, its doable. These are transitioning times for Bharat to become ‘vishwa guru’ and pursuer of ‘vishwa maitri’. (Author is Director & Chief Executive of Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies based in New Delhi)

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Boys Play Big in Muddied Waters!

US, China with diverse agendas coupled with religious extremist forces in Islam and evangelists may shrink open space to operate for Bharat that has big stakes in Bangladesh K.A.Badarinath The big boys are at play. Bangladesh government under Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus is bound to be pulled apart by both United States of America seeking to establish a military base in South Asia and Chinese Communist Party led by President Xi Jingping that’s seeking unquestioned dominance in Asia. Jamaat-e-Islami and Bangladesh National Party (BNP) led by Khalid Zia would play willing tools in the big boys power play with Pakistan reduced to a lackey of minor variety. There’s denying that Muslim Brotherhood that’s globally dreaded would complicate the equation with its Islamist – Jihadist agenda on Bharat’s Eastern frontiers. ‘Razakars’ would become handy frontline private army in the hands of jihadist Muslim leadership internationally. There have been reports that already these Razakars have taken over civic policing as an occupational army of zealots. Well, tasks for Bharat are cut out after Sheikh Hasina’s government fell last week, Awami League purged, safe exit to her provided in a swift deal and Army took reins in a coup. Though interim government headed by Yunus and a battery of over dozen advisors have taken charge, nothing seems to have changed on the ground while Army calls the shots. Bangladesh’s under-belly has several layers that must be understood before Bharat gets to the drawing board to establish a working relationship with the new Army controlled, Yunus fronted regime given that Chinese, US and Pakistan deep state haggling for their pound of flesh. The ‘transitional’ Yunus regime got legitimacy as Democratic White House was first to recognise the government. Secretary of State’s spokesperson was drafted to convey that US was ‘ready and looked forward’ to working with Dhaka under Yunus. St Martin Island also known as ‘Narikel Jinjira’ (Coconut Island) or ‘Daruchini Dweep’ (Cinnamon Island) off-the-Chittagong coast may be eyed by US to set up a military base to lord over both Bharat and her expansionist neighbour China. Direct US presence in the region may not be encouraged or welcomed by Bharat given the strategic implications. Also, Bharat would get cut off virtually from entire South East Asia in terms of trade, investment and services. Church driven ‘Project K’ to carve out an artificial autonomous region christened as ‘Kukiland’ will come to the forefront. Church’s fancy idea of a separate Christian state encompasses parts of Bangladesh, Burma and Bharat’s Manipur and Mizoram. This Christian agenda is expected to get complete backing of White House under President Joe Biden or his possible successor Kamala Harris. Even if Donald Trump upstages the democrats and gets elected in November 2024 elections, this agenda may get going. Even if general elections in Bangladesh were to be held anytime now, a pliable government in Dhaka is what Washington DC may expect to see in the saddle given that Awami League is virtually out of power play. On the other hand, China would try and get Teesta River Project and other infrastructure ventures that provide Beijing proximity to India’s ‘chicken neck’ area. Weeks before Hasina government fell, US $ two billion worth interest free, concessional, commercial loans apart from grants were reportedly promised by China after a meeting that Bangladesh Prime Minister had with President Xi. On face of it, funding infrastructure projects either directly or through Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) may not just be limited to investment push. Instead, it will result in strategic issues for Bharat giving China advantage at her doorstep. Third dimension to Bangladesh story is the Jamaat-e-Islami backed by Pakistan and part of larger Muslim Brotherhood going berserk would pose serious challenges to Bharat. Jamaat pursuing genocide of Hindus in Bangladesh has been widely reported. CIHS has meticulously documented these grave crimes. Jamaat is popular as ‘congregation of Muslims’. Known as the largest Muslim formation founded in 1975, Jamaat was banned from political participation by Bangladesh Supreme Court in 2013 citing its opposition to religious freedom or practice of faith. Within its ambit were other organizations like Al – Badr, Al – Shams and self-styled peace committee that formed the jihadist network. All these are pronouncedly anti-Hindu, Buddhists and Christians in Bangladesh. Evangelists and Islamist forces are expected to be on collusion course given their extremely divergent agendas for Bangladesh. Bid to carve out an autonomous Christian area by extreme evangelists with backing from US may be at odds with ‘theocratic’ ‘Islamist’ state that Jamaat may like to evolve Bangladesh into. Conflict between evangelists and Muslims may turn rough reported from several cities in European countries. Contrarian geo-political forces in China, US and religious extremism donned by evangelists and Jamaat leaves very little space for open, flexible and forward thinking democratic agenda in Bangladesh. This is a heady mix in which India will have to tread carefully to safeguard her geo-political and strategic interests apart from that of Hindus and Indian origin people living in Bangladesh. Rightly, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has emphasised that Yunus government in Bangladesh must take steps to protect Hindus lives, properties, businesses especially women that have been targeted by Jihadists. For Bharat, dealing with influx of Bangladeshis fleeing the violence torn country may be a big priority apart from safeguarding her people in Bangladesh. Secondly, New Delhi may have to swerve through muddy waters that have become playground for both US and China apart from minions like Pakistan. Thirdly, recalibrating equations with Dhaka given an array of forces from far-left extremists, religious jihadists to military establishment may pose a big challenge. Fourthly, pursuing her agenda of peace, tranquillity and prosperity in South Asia may not be easy for Bharat. Fifthly, smoothening relations with Bangladesh may turn tricky while former Prime Minister and senior Awami League leader Sheikh Hasina continue to be respected state guest in Delhi. Sixthly, working with likeminded stakeholders to ring in democracy with all forces in tact may be a tall order. Seventhly, relatively tension free

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Strategic Autonomy: Time Tested Doctrine

Strategic Autonomy: Time Tested Doctrine

Bharat’s allies and foes may have to reconcile to freedom of choice exercised by New Delhi for global good and humanitarian push K.A.Badarinath ‘Strategic autonomy’ has been at the core of foreign policy doctrine pursued assiduously by Bharat’s government with both friends and foes alike. India’s foreign minister Subramanyam Jaishankar described this as ‘freedom of choice’ which Bharat exercised time and again to signal that it was above narrow partisan political blocks. These blocks only led to destabilization and restlessness globally. Some analysts viewed this as polite rebuff to US Ambassador to India Eric Micharel Garcetti who trashed ‘strategic autonomy’ stance of Bharat following Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Moscow and meetings he held with Russian President Vladmir Putin. Eric Garcetti erroneously claimed that had there was nothing like strategic autonomy during a war in obvious reference to conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Garcetti, a democratic politician, considered close to President Joe Biden and former Los Angeles Mayor, has not been known as an all-weather friend that India looked for. Garcetti’s nomination to the key position was delayed as confirmations did not come by from the Senate Selections Committee. Garcetti was finally confirmed to India in a split verdict of 52 – 42 votes on March 15, 2023. India’s foreign office rebuff was important given that Garcetti was personal choice of President Biden for the posting in New Delhi notwithstanding the host’s reservations. Bharat also pushed back US Under Secretary of State for South and Central Asia Donald Lu who aired his disappointments and purported ‘tough conversations’ that Washington DC had with New Delhi on Prime Minister Modi’s engagements in Moscow. These ‘blips’ or ‘aberrations’ between two strategic partners could have been easily avoided only if Washington DC appreciated the logic, reasoning and rationale in New Delhi engaging with President Putin at bilateral and personal level. Subramanyam Jaishankar thoughtfully used his visits to Japan and Laos to drive home the point on ‘strategic autonomy’ that Bharat has carefully crafted in a multi-polar world balancing out compulsions of energy resources management and strategic positioning by India. For last two-odd years, Bharat had exercised utmost caution while taking her stand on Russia – Ukraine conflict or Hamas invasion of Israel last October 7 forcing the latter to reportedly assassinate Hamas political chief Ismail Hanieh in Tehran. While West Asia and Eastern Europe is simmering in a crucible with US and European allies taking a unilateral, Bharat continued to be the only major power that pursued a saner line.  Bharat has had rejected all forms of terrorism and violation of basic rights for people in each of these countries. Significant message that Bharat has for global leaders and communities through her independence doctrine is that there was space for dialogue, reconciliation and living together sans bloody conflicts that continue to linger. Bharat’s allies in US across Democrats and Republican parties will have to appreciate, respect and allow for soft manoeuvring by New Delhi treading her own path. White House under Democratic Presidential nominee Kamala Harris or Republican supremo Donald J Trump will have recognize that views of strategic allies like Bharat will have to be respected rather than sparring in public with imbecile or immature public display of ‘one-upman-ship’. Multilateral powerful groups like Quad or BRICS should serve as forums for respectful and equitable engagement between equitable partners rather than expecting subservience that’s symptomatic manifestation of a unipolar supremacist mind-set that doesn’t fit into present day matrix. Bharat’s strategic autonomy exercised with responsibility to protect her interests is known to leaders in Washington DC, newly elected Labour leader Keir Starmer in UK or freshly anointed Heads in European capitals. Bharat’s allies should not underestimate the long swift swirl of Red dragon in Beijing that may attempt an iron grip for China and Communist Party of China in global affairs. (Author is Director & Chief Executive at CIHS)

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Sustain Democratic Credentials!

Life attempt on Donald Trump reflects degenerative US societal structures that have come under stranglehold of jihadists, evangelical extremists, ideologically intolerant terrorists and gun-trotters K.A.Badarinath Terror in every form and format has to be rejected in totality. Geographies notwithstanding, violence and acts against humanity has no place among global communities. Evangelists, Jihadists, Left extremists and private armies have raised their ugly head. They have to be put down in no uncertain terms even if United Nations has dragged its feet too long on terrorism. Ideological extremists, individuals and groups wedded to dreaded gun culture that spread fast in Europe and United States has added fresh dimension to terrorism, terrorists and their tactics. Life bid on Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump in Pennsylvania is just a speck in global terror map irrespective of the motive. Ideological intolerance and political one-up-man-ship manifested in United States that’s on campaign mode has to be rejected once for all. There’s no place for such violence and terrorism in democratic debate to elect the next President in USA, be it democrats or republicans. Prevailing gun culture in US may have had its origins to take on the European settlers and later it transformed to ‘frontier spirit’ in eighteenth century. It’s rather illogical for developed countries that boast of ‘free spirit’ to encourage gun culture of one form or the other within or outside their own territories. Spread of terrorism and violence of different hues and colour have had their roots in this very western culture. Encouraging migration of jihadis in the guise of freedom has taken its toll. Most Western Europe is going through a churn owing to these jihadi elements that have gained firm foothold in the region leading to violent incidents incessantly. Similarly, evangelical extremists enrolled as either democrats or republicans have enhanced their footprint and tightened their grip on socio-economic landscape of United States, its polity, institutions and organizations. Self-proclaimed Left liberalists that take the guise of ‘urban naxals’ in Bharat and eastern hemisphere have huge foundations in Europe and US thereby firmly determining the regions’ policies on migration, citizenship rights to employment. This group has unleashed violence and terror across the globe among academia, intellectuals, scientists, technologists and policymakers thereby breeding ‘intolerance’ of extreme variety. Added to this narrative jihad is the culture of private armies and gangs in the name of Left extremist ideologies and annihilation peddled shamelessly even after having been rejected by global communities. Otherwise, how does one explain as to continued attacks on peace-loving Hindus in several of Western geographies? Why is it that ‘coloured people’ and the Asians have not been left to live honourably in these territories, be it America, Canada, Europe or UK? There’s no plausible explanation for huge number of Muslim jihadists getting into United Kingdom’s Parliament. Left gaining credence in French political tapestry is something unimaginable. It’s only the Americans that need to elect their leader in November 2024 Presidential elections. Global communities can only support and complement these efforts made by US to ensure that political violence, evangelical, jihadists, Left extremists or gun-trotting individuals or groups do not subvert the democratic process. Like foreign powers made desperate attempts to torpedo elections in Bharat earlier this year, it’s eminently possible that aliens meddle with US elections. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently said that there was evidence of China trying to influence US elections as in the past i.e. 2016 and 2020. These inimical forces may do so again this time round. President Xi Jinping’s Chinese Communist Party would never concede to having done it in past or attempting intervention this time round. But, Federal Election Commission’s reports suggest otherwise. Apart from China, several others may be in process of spending hundreds of millions in dollars to influence outcome of the US elections. Coupled with such foreign interference, jihadists, evangelical extremists, gun trotting groups and Left extremists may have a field day. Failure of governance structures in United States to stop these forces is glaringly exemplified by the latest attack on Donald Trump. There’s no place for such machinations in democratic dialogue, elections and sane debate sans intolerance. Restoring credibility and relevance of governance structures in US should become priority of both democrats and republicans. Holding smooth and fair elections is an imperative. Being one of the oldest democracies may not be enough. Sustaining these credentials should be on top of the mind for Americans in general and leadership in particular! (Author is Director & Chief Executive of New Delhi based non-partisan think tank, Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies)     

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