CIHS – Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies

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RSS Addresses US Forums on Technology, Innovation and Leadership: A Civilisational Vision for the Future of Humanity

Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies (CIHS) is pleased to release its latest brief, RSS Addresses US Forums on Technology, Innovation and Leadership: A Civilisational Vision for the Future of Humanity, documenting the engagements of RSS Sarkaryavah Dattatreya Hosabale at THRIVE 2026, Stanford Faculty Club, and at the Hudson Institute, Washington D.C., in April 2026. Coinciding with the centenary of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), these engagements marked one of the most substantive transatlantic conversations on Indian civilisational thought in recent years. The brief brings together, in considered depth, the views articulated by RSS Sarkaryavah Dattatreya Hosabale across both forums: the philosophy of oneness rooted in Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam, the coexistence of tradition and modernity, the three-fold lens of economy, ecology, and ethics for evaluating technology, the distinctive ethos of seva (service), the centenary vision of Panch Parivartan, and the role of the Indian diaspora as a natural bridge between two democracies.Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), these engagements marked one of the most substantive transatlantic conversations on Indian civilisational thought in recent years. The brief brings toge We invite scholars, policymakers, and engaged readers to download the full brief below. [Download the full brief here]

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Indus Waters Treaty After Pahalgam

India’s post-Pahalgam position on the Indus Waters Treaty is not a water dispute. It is a sovereign response to Pakistan’s sustained use of cross-border terrorism while continuing to demand the full benefits of a cooperative treaty. The Treaty was premised on goodwill, peaceful conduct and reciprocal confidence. Pakistan’s conduct, culminating in the Baisaran, Pahalgam terrorist attack of 22 April 2025, shattered that premise. India’s decision to hold the Treaty in abeyance was therefore not an abandonment of legality, but a principled assertion that treaty cooperation cannot be insulated from state-sponsored terrorism. India’s response was deliberately cross-sectoral. It combined diplomatic downgrading, border and visa restrictions, suspension of treaty normalcy, and later, precise military action through Operation Sindoor against terrorist infrastructure. This sequencing matters. India did not begin with indiscriminate escalation. It first imposed sovereign, administrative and diplomatic costs, and only after Pakistan-backed terrorism crossed a grave threshold did it move to targeted counter-terror action. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s formulation, that “water and blood cannot flow together”, captures the Indian sentiment: Pakistan must choose between normal interstate cooperation and the continued use of terror as an instrument of state policy. Pakistan’s response has followed a familiar pattern: denial of culpability, reciprocal escalation, threats over water, and internationalisation through the United Nations and treaty forums. Yet none of this answers the central question. If Pakistan seeks the benefits of the Indus Waters Treaty, it must first restore the minimum conditions that make such a treaty workable. India’s stand is therefore principled, conditional and proportionate: the path back to treaty normalcy remains open, but only after Pakistan credibly, irrevocably and verifiably abandons support for cross-border terrorism.

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Perception Versus Philosophy: RSS Bridges the Gap

From addressing  perceptions in Washington DC to articulating civilizational framework in Silicon Valley, RSS General Secretary Dattatreya Hosabale’s US visit signals the organization’s evolving global engagement.   Arun Anand As the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) marks its centenary, its General Secretary Dattatreya Hosabale used his April 2026 visit to the United States to engage not just the Indian diaspora, but also influential global policy circles. A key moment in this outreach came on April 24 at the Hudson Institute, where Hosabale participated in a fireside chat with Walter Russell Mead—an interaction that set the tone for the broader visit. In a candid exchange, Hosabale addressed long-standing perceptions about the RSS. He firmly rejected comparisons with organisations such as the Ku Klux Klan, calling them fundamentally flawed and rooted in misunderstanding. According to him, such narratives have historically portrayed the RSS as anti-minority, anti-Christian, anti-modern or supremacist labels he argued do not reflect its philosophy or practice. Citing thr organisation’s ideological foundation, he emphasised that Hindu thought is anchored in the principle of oneness rather than supremacy. He described RSS as a voluntary cultural organisation rooted in India’s civilizational ethos, where identity is understood in a civilizational, not narrowly religious, sense. Hosabale also highlighted the organisation’s grassroots work, from daily and weekly shakhas aimed at character-building and discipline to large-scale contributions in education, healthcare, rural development, environmental initiatives, and disaster relief. On the question of minority relations, he suggested that tensions often stem from political factors and historical interpretations rather than ideological hostility, advocating dialogue as the path forward. Significantly, he underscored that modernisation and cultural values are not contradictory. Instead, he argued, they can coexist and reinforce each other, a consistent through his engagements in the US. A Civilisational Dialogue in Silicon Valley One of the intellectual cornerstones of the visit was Hosabale’s address at Stanford University during the Thrive 2026 conference. Speaking to technologists, entrepreneurs, and the Indian diaspora, he argued that rapid technological advancement must be guided by deeper ethical and civilisational wisdom. Drawing from Indic traditions, he pointed out that Indian knowledge systems have historically integrated the spiritual and the scientific. Ancient texts such as the Upanishads, he noted, explore questions of consciousness and existence that remain relevant even in the age of artificial intelligence. This integrated worldview, he suggested, offers a necessary corrective in an era marked by ecological stress, social inequality, and unrestrained technological ambition. His call for a “holistic lifestyle” was not a rejection of modernity, but an attempt to anchor it within ethical boundaries. At the heart of this framework lies the idea of Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam, presented as a practical principle for navigating global fragmentation. Science, Knowledge, and Civilisational Leadership Hosabale emphasised the need to revitalise Indic knowledge systems, many of which were marginalised during periods of historical disruption. He argued that contemporary India is witnessing a renewed effort to recover and systematise this intellectual heritage. In his view, science and spirituality are not opposing forces but complementary modes of inquiry. Historically, scholars often engaged both simultaneously, combining empirical observation with philosophical reflection. He proposed three touchstones for evaluating technological progress, economy, ecology, and ethics, warning that development divorced from these principles risks deepening inequality and environmental degradation. Equally, he stressed the importance of democratising knowledge globally, ensuring that insights from diverse civilisations contribute to a more balanced world order. Redefining the Role of the Diaspora Engaging with Indian-origin communities, Hosabale articulated a clear message: complete commitment to the host nation is essential. Contributing to the progress and well-being of their adopted country, he said, is a form of dharma. At the same time, he encouraged the diaspora to remain connected to India’s cultural roots. This dual identity, fully integrated yet culturally anchored, was presented as a strength. He also emphasised the importance of strengthening India-US relations through trust and people-to-people ties, while addressing persistent misconceptions about India by highlighting its role as a major economy and a global technology hub. The Path Ahead: Balance in an Age of Extremes A consistent theme across Hosabale’s engagements was the need for balance in an age of excess. He cautioned against an unrestrained race for technological dominance that overlooks sustainability and human well-being. Indian civilisational thought, with its emphasis on harmony, interconnectedness, and respect for nature, offers an alternative framework, one particularly relevant in addressing climate change and social fragmentation. The idea of “knowledge guided by wisdom” remained central: knowledge without ethical grounding can lead to exploitation, while guided by discernment, it can serve the collective good. Conclusion Dattatreya Hosabale’s US visit during the RSS centenary was both reflective and forward-looking. Through his engagement with a candid dialogue at the Hudson Institute and extending it to technological and diaspora platforms, he positioned the RSS within a broader global conversation. The emphasis on civilisational identity, ethical modernity, dialogue, and global cooperation reflects an evolving outreach, one that seeks to engage the world not defensively, but with a sense of intellectual confidence and cultural continuity.

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Looking for Relevance?

Pakistan’s ‘Mediator Moment’ in Iran Crisis may turn out to be more of diplomatic outreach rather than Strategic Opportunism. N. C. Bipindra Pakistan’s most visible foreign policy gambits in recent years are its attempts to position as a mediator in the conflict between US, Israel and Iran. Pakistan has stepped forward to host talks, relay messages and project itself as a bridge between adversaries as tensions between US and Iran oscillate between ceasefire diplomacy and brinkmanship. Yet, beneath optics of shuttle diplomacy lies a more complex reality. Pakistan has limited credibility, constrained leverage and competing internal and external pressures. Optics versus Substance: Pak’s Mediation limits In recent days, Pakistan has actively facilitated dialogue between Washington DC and Tehran. It is even prepared to host rounds of negotiations. But, the substance of this engagement remains uncertain. Iran has shown hesitation in committing to talks in Islamabad. At critical moments, it has not confirmed participation. This hesitation reflects a broader scepticism. Mediation requires trust from both sides and Pakistan’s track record does not necessarily inspire it. Islamabad has maintained relations with Tehran and avoided overt alignment with Israel or US military frameworks. Its strategic dependence on Gulf allies especially Saudi Arabia raises questions about neutrality. The result is a paradox. Pakistan is visible but not indispensable. Trump Factor: Mimicry as Strategy One most striking features of Pakistan’s current posture is its alignment with Trump’s transactional diplomacy style. Islamabad has reportedly tailored its outreach to appeal to Trump’s preferences. It has offered cooperation on counter-terrorism, economic deals and even taken recourse to public praise. This approach has yielded short-term gains. Pakistan has secured a seat at the diplomatic table. Some stakeholders have even described Islamabad as a “central mediator.” Yet, such gains are fragile. They hinge on personal rapport rather than institutional trust. This makes Pakistan’s role vulnerable to shifts in US policy or leadership. More critically, aligning too close with Trump risks alienating other actors particularly Iran. Tehran remains wary of US pressure tactics and sceptical of intermediaries perceived as extensions of Washington. OIC Platform: Visibility Not Influence Pakistan has leveraged Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) to project diplomatic relevance. The grouping has publicly acknowledged Pakistan’s “effective role” in de-escalation efforts. However, OIC’s structural limitations undermine its utility. Deep divisions within Muslim world especially between Sunni-majority states like Saudi Arabia and Shia-led Iran limit the organisation’s capacity to act as a unified diplomatic bloc. These internal fractures mean that Pakistan’s use of OIC serves more as a signalling tool than a mechanism for tangible conflict resolution. In effect, OIC amplifies Pakistan’s voice but does not necessarily enhance its negotiating power. Asim Munir eclipses elected govt Another defining feature of Pakistan’s mediation bid is the growing prominence of Army chief Asim Munir. Reports suggest that Munir has cultivated direct ties with US leadership even earning personal praise from President Trump. This dynamic underscores a familiar pattern in Pakistan’s governance. The military is dominant in foreign and security policy. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif while publicly leading diplomatic outreach, appears overshadowed by army chief’s influence. Such a configuration carries risks. While military backing can lend coherence and decisiveness, it also complicates perceptions of Pakistan as a neutral mediator. For Iran and other regional actors, prominence of the military, given its historical alignments, may reinforce doubts about Islamabad’s impartiality. Navigating Sunni–Shia Fault Lines Pakistan’s mediation attempt is further complicated by its need to balance Sunni–Shia dynamics. The country has longstanding ties with Saudi Arabia, including defence commitments while sharing a border and cultural links with Iran. This dual alignment creates structural constraints. Supporting Saudi Arabia too overtly risks alienating Iran. Leaning toward Tehran could jeopardise economic and financial support from Sunni-majority Gulf states. The challenge is not merely diplomatic but existential, given Pakistan’s economic vulnerabilities and reliance on Gulf remittances and energy supplies. Domestically, the stakes are equally high. Sectarian tensions within Pakistan could be inflamed by perceptions of bias in the Iran conflict, adding another layer of complexity to its external posture. Pakistan’s Credibility Deficit Despite its proactive diplomacy, Pakistan’s credibility as a mediator remains contested. Critics, including former US officials such as ex-adviser to Secretary of Defence Col Douglas Macgregor (Retd), have dismissed its role as unrealistic or overstated. Even where Pakistan has achieved visibility, questions persist about its capacity to deliver outcomes. The gap between hosting talks and shaping agreements is significant. Islamabad has yet to demonstrate the leverage needed to bridge it. At the same time, some analysts argue that Pakistan’s emergence as an interlocutor reflects a broader shift in global diplomacy, where middle powers exploit geopolitical flux to carve out roles. From this perspective, Pakistan’s mediation bid is less about immediate success and more about long-term positioning. Crisis at Home, Ambition Abroad Pakistan’s diplomatic activism also contrasts sharply with its domestic challenges. Iran conflict has triggered economic disruptions, including energy shortages and inflation, underscoring Islamabad’s vulnerability. These internal pressures raise an important question. Is mediation a strategic necessity or a diversionary tactic? Pakistan may be seeking to offset domestic instability and enhance its international standing by projecting itself as a peacemaker. Without requisite economic and institutional strength, Pakistan’s ambitions to turn a key mediator may not work. Mediate or Messenge? Pakistan’s emerging posture in Iran crisis reflects a blend of opportunism, necessity and ambition. It has successfully inserted itself into high-level diplomatic processes. Islamabad has leveraged relationships with both Western and Muslim-world actors. Yet, its role remains constrained by credibility deficit, structural dependencies and internal contradictions. At its core, Pakistan’s mediation effort may be better understood not as a decisive diplomatic intervention but as a bid for relevance in a rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape. Whether it evolves into a genuine broker of peace or remains a peripheral messenger will depend on its ability to translate visibility into trust and presence into influence. (Author is Chairman, Law and Society Alliance, a New Delhi-based think tank, and guest columnist with CIHS)

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RSS in US: Civilizational Bridge @100

Without losing Bharatiya identity, diaspora can become vital link with host nation by demonstrating its complete commitment. Arun Anand Commemorating its centennial, Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh has begun a serious conversation with a bevy of stakeholders in the West especially the United States and Europe. As part of its global outreach, RSS General Secretary Dattatreya Hosabale undertook a significant visit to United States in April 2026. It’s more than a routine diaspora engagement. This tour represented a carefully crafted civilisational outreach—one that combined reflection on a hundred-year journey with a forward-looking articulation of Bharat’s intellectual and cultural role in a rapidly transforming world. At a time when global discourse is increasingly shaped by technology, geopolitics and identity debates, Hosabale’s visit sought to position the RSS not merely as an Indian organisation but as a participant in a wider philosophical conversation about humanity’s future. Civilizational Dialogue in Silicon Valley The intellectual centre piece of the visit was Hosabale’s address at Stanford University during the Thrive 2026 conference. Speaking before an audience comprising technologists, entrepreneurs and members of the Indian diaspora, he framed his intervention around a central proposition: that modern technological advancement must be guided by deeper ethical and civilisational wisdom. Drawing from Indic traditions, he argued that knowledge systems in India have historically refused to separate the spiritual from the scientific. Ancient texts, including the Upanishads, were presented not merely as theological works but as repositories of inquiry into the nature of the human mind, the cosmos, and existence itself. In this view, the fragmentation of knowledge into rigid categories science versus spirituality is a relatively recent phenomenon. Hosabale suggested that this integrated approach offers valuable insights in an age defined by artificial intelligence, ecological stress, and social inequality. He advocated what he termed a “holistic lifestyle,” contrasting it with excesses of consumerism and unchecked technological ambition. The emphasis was not on rejecting modernity, but on anchoring it within a broader ethical framework. At the heart of this framework lies the idea of Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam, the belief that the world is one family. Hosabale presented this not as a rhetorical flourish, but as a practical principle for navigating global fragmentation and conflict. Science, Knowledge & Civilisation A key theme that ran through his address was the need to revisit and revitalise Indic knowledge systems. Centuries of disruption particularly during protracted periods of foreign rule led to erosion and marginalisation of indigenous intellectual traditions, he averred. As a result, many scientific ideas embedded within cultural and spiritual texts were either forgotten or dismissed as superstition. Today, he argued, there is a renewed effort in India to recover and systematise this knowledge. Education, in this context, becomes central, not merely as a means of economic advancement but as a tool for reconnecting society with its intellectual heritage. Hosabale emphasised that scientific inquiry and spirituality were not opposing forces. Rather, they complement and enrich each other. Historically, scholars engaged in both domains simultaneously, integrating empirical observation with philosophical reflection. This integrated approach also carries ethical implications. He proposed that any technology intended for human welfare must be evaluated on three touchstones: economy, ecology and ethics. Technological progress that generates inequality, exploits nature or violates moral norms, he warned, ultimately undermines both society and the environment. Equally significant was his emphasis on democratization of knowledge. While knowledge production has accelerated globally, access to it remains uneven. A truly equitable world, in his view, requires insights from all civilizations that be shared widely, enabling a more balanced and inclusive global order. Redefining Diaspora Role Beyond intellectual discourse, Hosabale’s engagement with Indian diaspora carried a clear and pragmatic message. Addressing gatherings in Silicon Valley, he urged Indian-origin communities to demonstrate complete commitment to countries they inhabit. For the diaspora, he stated, contributing to progress and well-being of their host nation is basic dharma. This articulation is significant in contemporary debates around identity and belonging. Rather than encouraging a divided loyalty, Hosabale advocated a model of integration rooted in responsibility and participation. At the same time, he encouraged diaspora to remain connected to Bharat’s cultural and civilisational values. This dual identity, being fully American while retaining an Indian cultural consciousness was presented as strength rather than a contradiction. In effect, the diaspora becomes a bridge: grounded locally, yet carrying a global civilisational perspective. Path Ahead: Balancing Extremes A recurring thread throughout the visit was call for balance. Hosabale warned against dangers of an unrestrained race for technological dominance, one that prioritises speed and scale over sustainability and human well-being. He argued that traditional Indian thought offers a corrective: a worldview that emphasises harmony with nature, respect for all forms of life and an understanding of interconnectedness of existence. This perspective, he suggested, is particularly relevant in addressing contemporary challenges such as climate change and social fragmentation. The concept of “knowledge guided by wisdom” emerged as a central motif. Knowledge, when divorced from ethical judgment, can lead to arrogance and exploitation. When guided by discernment, viveka, it becomes a force for collective good. Conclusion Dattatreya Hosabale’s 2026 visit to the United States was not merely a commemorative exercise marking RSS centenary. It was an attempt to articulate a vision, one that situates Indian civilizational thought within global debates on technology, ecology and human coexistence. By engaging with Indian diaspora and intellectual communities in Silicon Valley, RSS signalled its intent to participate more actively in shaping global narratives. The emphasis on loyalty to host nations, cultural rootedness and ethical balance reflects a nuanced approach to globalisation, one that seeks integration without loss of identity. (Author is a senior journalist & columnist. He has authored more than a dozen books)

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War is costly!

There’s no escape from huge costs of US, Israel war in Iran that has cascading effect on economy, human life, communities & the world K.A.Badarinath Actuals are never known. But, ballpark figures are rounded off to a whopping US $ one trillion as cost of US – Israeli war with Iran beginning February 28. This estimate could include both short term costs, long term liabilities and replacement, replenishment and rejig costs of war machinery for United States. Rebuilding the military and naval bases of US security establishment across West Asia damaged by Iran is again a tough nut to crack and estimating the damages, both actuals and consequential, are tricky. Prof Linda Bilmes, a public policy expert at Harvard Kennedy School has been quoted for estimating the cost of war with Iran for US citizens to be US one trillion dollars. This will further push up the country’s deficits. Republican White House headed by President Donald J Trump and his budget office have not provided any guidance on cost of war with Iran. Only two definitive figures available in public domain are that US incurred US $ 11.5 billion in first six days and Pentagon sought another US $ 200 billion towards bankrolling the war machinery especially high cost carriers, ballistic missiles, tom hawks, fighter jets and choppers. An aggregate US $ two billion per day is reportedly the cost Trump administration incurred to keep the war going as per one estimate. Even US $ one trillion estimate made by Prof Linda Bilmes is viewed as very conservative given that US incurred over US $ 5 trillion in conflict with Iraq and Afghanistan. Though defence analysts have different estimates of the war, none may have been comprehensive or wholesome. Also complicated models for estimating the war expenses like replacement costs of munitions could may be big vis-à-vis the actual production costs. Costs incurred by US partner Israel and its adversary Iran may not have been covered in this estimate of Prof Bilmes. And, there are no monetary costs put to their war efforts by either Israel or Iran. Economic impact of the war has also not been considered in this US professor’s projections. Chatham House has estimated that the war may adversely impact West Asian region’s economy by 2 – 3 per cent. It’s not for the entire world and these estimates could undergo a sea change given longevity of the war machine chugging along. Energy markets disrupted by the war are big in terms of cost component where truce seems elusive and tentative. About two months of disruption in crude, LNG, hydrogen fuels, aviation turbine fuel, LPG and piped domestic gas is differential and varied in terms of costs given massive fluctuation in prices of these hydrocarbon based energy products. The war may roil the global economy during next three to four quarters. Decisive factor would be 24-mile Strait of Hormuz which accounts for movement of one fifth oil and its associated commodities. Costs to secure and safe passage of ships on the Strait, tolls being imposed by Iran and US in competition would determine how the energy markets behave here after. American economy may not feel the direct heat immediately given its relative insulation from conflict which may not end anytime soon. But, West Asia, Europe – both Eastern and Western components – South, South Asia would bear the maximum brunt as direct consequence of war. Both direct and indirect costs of war are different for each of the countries. Developing and least developed countries would face the heat with their development budgets going haywire and kitchen budgets of families going through the roof. Multi-lateral agencies like International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank are at loss to project the losses to world economy. Not everything is gloomy on economic front owing to the US – Israel war with Iran. Oil companies, aircraft producers, munitions manufacturers, infrastructure firms in a way are also biggest gainers as huge post-war reconstruction contracts would come their way. Reconstruction of war ravaged Iran may be a herculean task. Development agencies, reconstruction players and core sector companies would see big business opportunities. About US $ 500 billion worth infrastructure damages incurred by Iran may open up fresh business prospects for global companies. Iran reportedly made compensating war damages by US as a condition to prolonging war truce. One estimate put the damages suffered by Iran to its ports, airports, bridges, shipping lanes, water ways, water desalination plants, railways and roadways etc. at US $ 270 billion. One way of recovering this by Iran was taxing ships passing through Strait of Hormuz which is completely against set international norms.  Consulting firm Rystad Energy has put the damages to energy infrastructure in West Asia at US $ 58 billion. The damages to 80 energy facilities in gulf region do not include what’s collapsed in Iran.  Above all, environmental costs of war are too huge for the world fighting climate change and carbon emissions. Five million tonnes of carbon emissions during first 14 days of war were reported by Climate and Community Institute based in UK. Carbon dioxide costs of war surpassed that of 84 countries emissions in those two weeks. Long term damages are too huge and humungous to estimate immediately. Biggest cost of war is the human life and communities living that’s too huge. (Author is veteran journalist, Director & Chief Executive of non-partisan think tank, Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies based in New Delhi)

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Iran at the Strait of International Law

Iran’s imposition of passage fees in the Strait of Hormuz does not merely test the nerves of the global shipping industry; it strikes at the foundational principle that no state may toll a right the international legal order has vested in the world. Rahul PAWA | X- @imrahulpawa Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps do not present themselves as a toll collector. They present themselves as guarantors of safe conduct, charging vessels transiting the corridor between Qeshm and Larak islands for the security they claim to provide in waters they claim to control. Large crude carriers reportedly face charges approaching two million US dollars per passage, with IRGC demanding settlement in cryptocurrency to circumvent the sanctions architecture that governs Iran’s conventional financial interactions. Tehran frames this as remuneration for a service, a charge for guaranteed passage through a waterway where Iranian forces claim exclusive capacity to maintain order. The United States Navy has responded by threatening to treat compliance as a hostile act, leaving global shipping operators trapped between two sovereign commands. What began as a regional confrontation has rapidly become a direct assault on the international law of navigation. The governing legal framework is principally Part III of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. Although Iran has not ratified UNCLOS, its straits provisions, Articles 37 through 44, constitute customary international law binding on all states. These articles establish the right of transit passage: all ships enjoy the right of continuous and expeditious navigation through straits used for international navigation connecting one area of high seas or exclusive economic zone to another. Article 26 reinforces this, providing that no charge may be levied on foreign vessels by reason of their transit through territorial sea alone; dues are permissible only where they correspond to specific services actually rendered to the vessel. IRGC charges satisfy neither condition. They are assessed not for any identifiable service but for the act of passage itself, which in precise legal terms converts a navigational right into a commercial licence. The distinction Iran implicitly contests is one that international law has settled across multiple regimes and over several decades. Suez and Panama canals are sovereign infrastructure constructed under treaty frameworks, the 1888 Constantinople Convention and the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties respectively, that expressly authorise transit dues as service charges for man-made facilities. Natural straits occupy an entirely different legal category, a point the International Court of Justice confirmed in the 1949 Corfu Channel case, where Albania’s attempt to condition warship passage through its territorial waters was held unlawful. International rivers present a related but distinct regime: the Rhine and Danube operate under multilateral treaties permitting service-linked dues but not passage charges, with the Danube governed by the 1948 Belgrade Convention. Archipelagic states such as Indonesia and the Philippines must under UNCLOS Part IV designate sea lanes permitting unimpeded transit without levy. Turkish Straits, governed by the 1936 Montreux Convention, permit Turkey to collect lighthouse and sanitary dues but explicitly prohibit passage fees. Russia’s Northern Sea Route is perhaps the closest live analogue: Moscow levies compulsory icebreaker escort fees on Arctic transits, clothing what critics argue is a functional toll in the language of mandatory safety services. The international legal community remains divided on the Russian position, but even Moscow maintains the formal pretence that vessels are paying for a specific service rather than for passage itself. Iran has not troubled itself with that pretence. What UNCLOS affirmatively permits a strait coastal state to do is narrow and precisely defined. It may designate sea lanes and traffic separation schemes, subject to adoption through International Maritime Organisation. It may enforce internationally recognised standards on safety and pollution prevention, and it retains limited enforcement jurisdiction under Article 233 against technical violations. What it may not do is exploit geographic position to extract financial consideration for transit itself. IRGC regime fails every test: the designated corridor carries no IMO sanction, documentation requirements exceed any recognised safety basis, and the cryptocurrency payment mechanism is not a feature of legitimate service billing but a deliberate evasion of the financial accountability structures that legitimate charges require. IRGC presents its corridor as a service. International law reads it as a seizure. The right of transit passage is not a concession the coastal state extends from geographic advantage; it is a right vested in the international community by customary law, confirmed in the Corfu Channel, codified in UNCLOS, and paralleled imperfectly, controversially, but never as brazenly, in every comparable waterway dispute from the Bosphorus to the Bering Strait. Iran cannot charge for the exercise of a right it has no power to grant, and the cryptocurrency invoices travelling between IRGC officials and tanker operators do not alter that legal reality by a single article. The toll booth is not a novel geopolitical instrument. It is an old claim that international law has refused, in every maritime theatre where it has been seriously advanced. (The author is an international criminal lawyer and director of research at New Delhi based think tank Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies (CIHS)

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Let’s Reunite For Shared Prosperity

New government in Kathmandu must fully use the opportunity to prove its worth and put country on a different path to prosperity. K.A.Badarinath Himalayan Hindu Kingdom, Nepal is in the midst of a big churn with most established political parties and their leaders getting irrelevant. After Balendra ‘Balen’ Shah of fledgling Rashtriya Swatantra Party (RSP) took charge as Prime Minister with comfortable majority, major political formations seem to be heading for oblivion. From K.P,Sharma Oli of Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist Leninist) to more liberal Sher Bahadaur Deuba of Nepali Congress and Nepal Communist Party headed by Pushpa Kamal ‘Dahal’ popularly known as Prachanda seem to be on winding up mode. All the three top leaders of these parties have had their ‘hey’ days and now waiting in the wings for rapper turned politician Balen to commit big mistakes in steering the Hindu majority Nepal. And, that would open some political space for them to reconnect with their lost ‘peoples’ antenna. In last few weeks that ‘Balen’ has held fort, he’s got to the business of governing this country differently, if Nepalese media were to be believed. There are no high sounding policy statements made by the RSP leadership that was returned to power with key mandate of cleansing the system from corruption. And, the RSP seems to be keeping its options open and making plans to deliver in next five years’ governance that was hitherto unknown before the Gen-Z agitation over last three decades. Without a bevy of politicians strutting in their large black cavalcades that marked governance in recent past, this new look government of youngsters seem determined to ‘deliver’ on the dot. Well, no political analyst is sticking out his neck to back this government that neither professes an ideology nor a policy paradigm. People in the narrow lanes of Kathmandu to roadside kiosks of Pokhara seem to like it the way political silence has befell the Himalayan kingdom. Till date, hardly did the Prime Minister ‘Balen’ speak for over 3 – 5 minutes in public leave alone laying out elaborate plans of his government before its people, his constituency of youngsters. What’s baffling the political spectrum in Nepal is this ‘deafening’ silence that’s eloquent and signals change in top leadership that made bombastic statements at briefings each day. Even President Xi Jingping’s apparatus of machinations seems to have hit a pause button while Beijing seems to be licking its wounds after having lobbied hard to get shades of Maoists and communists to form a government of its liking. President Trump’s men at South Asia desk also seem to have ‘gone slow for now’ given the Washington DC’s pre-occupation with Iran and West Asia’s dynamic developments. There are already many firsts that the new government is known for and people are talking about it.  It has been a norm for newly elected Prime Minister to invite individual envoys ‘one on one’ ahead of engaging with the world leaders or different partner countries. Breaking away from unstructured and informal meetings with envoys of countries like China, US often without involvement of foreign office, Prime Minister ‘Balen’ reset the policy approach. On April 8, he held a meeting with envoys of 17 countries and formally hinted at deliberate and coherent policy approach though nothing concrete was put on offer. Some analysts hinted that it was ‘strategic diplomatic reset’ the way envoys were told of ‘development oriented’, ‘nation first’ approach. Trust, mutual respect and shared prosperity were the key to diplomatic engagement that the new government laid out to international engagement. Well, ‘balanced approach’ to foreign policy formulation hinted by Prime Minister ‘Balen’ Shah has been read differently in circles across stakeholders. One thing that seems to have been put to rest: Kathmandu will not play ‘favourites’ game hitherto hallmark of diplomacy depending on who held reins in Kathmandu. What has come as a big talking point is acceptance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s invitation to his Nepali counterpart ‘Balen’ to visit New Delhi for a bilateral engagement. Many analysts, both Indian and Nepali, think that it augurs well for the two neighbours whose engagement has been defined by shared civilizational, cultural and people to people ties. Nepal’s expectations from Bharat may be expansive given the intrinsic relations notwithstanding the US and Chinese factors that are coming into increasing play. Still, Balen may utilize the opportunity to take things one by one with New Delhi and not rush through with a raft of proposals. Deliberate and structured approach may define both Nepal and Bharat relations going forward. On home turf, Nepal’s Prime Minister seems to be earning big on the 100-point agenda based on his party’s manifesto rolled out before polls. Rejecting VIP culture detested by common Nepali folks may is getting big applause for ‘Balen’s government of youngsters. Setting up high powered panel headed by a former Supreme Court judge to tackle corruption and cleansing the educational institutions from influence of political parties has been widely debated. While Nepal’s new government seeks to find a new way to serving its people, Bharat could be the biggest support in its journey to prosperity. The new government in Kathmandu must get a full chance to prove its worth and bring the civilizational ties and shared ancestry with Bharat back to bloom. (author is a veteran journalist, Director & Chief Executive of non-partisan think tank based in New Delhi, Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies).

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China’s Infatuation with India’s Arunachal Pradesh

Beijing has spent decades trying to claim a land it has never governed, never administered, and never convinced the world is its own. The infatuation tells us less about Arunachal Pradesh and more about the insecurities driving Chinese foreign policy. Rahul PAWA | X- @imrahulpawa The flight to Tokyo was supposed to be the easy part. Pema Wangjom Thongdok had already made the long haul from London. All that remained was a three-hour layover at Shanghai Pudong, a coffee maybe, then the short hop to Narita. She had done this route before, through this same airport, without trouble. It did not go that way. Last November, Chinese immigration officials at Pudong pulled Thongdok aside, took her Indian passport, studied it, and informed her it was invalid. The problem was not an expired visa or a missing stamp. The problem was a single line on the document: birthplace, Arunachal Pradesh. That, the officials told her, was Chinese territory. She was not, in their assessment, Indian. For eighteen hours, Thongdok sat in the transit area without food, without explanation, without a boarding pass, pressured to verbally accept Beijing’s position on her own nationality. She would not. The Indian consulate, reached through a desperate call by a friend in England, got her onto a flight that night. Not to Tokyo. To Bangkok. The cheapest seat out of China. Thongdok is from Rupa, a town of a few thousand people in West Kameng, Arunachal Pradesh. She is Sherdukpen, one of twenty-six tribes whose homeland sits in the eastern Himalayas where India meets Tibet. What happened to her was not a rogue officer having a bad shift. It was the sharp end of a policy Beijing has refined over decades, using visas, accreditation cards, and county registers to wage a quiet, persistent campaign against Indian sovereignty over Arunachal Pradesh. Since 2005, China has issued stapled visas to Indians born in Arunachal, loose paper slips instead of passport stamps, arguing it cannot grant regular visas to people it considers Chinese nationals. India has rightly refused to accept them. Every stapled visa acknowledged would be a quiet concession that Arunachalis inhabit some grey zone between Indian and Chinese nationality. In July 2023, three wushu athletes from Arunachal were issued stapled visas for the World University Games in Chengdu. India pulled out its entire team. The same three were then blocked from the Hangzhou Asian Games. India’s Sports Minister boycotted the ceremony. These were young Indians shut out of international sport because a foreign government refused to recognise their passports. The pattern is older than this generation. In the 1990s, Gegong Apang, then Chief Minister of Arunachal Pradesh, the elected leader of a full Indian state, was denied a Chinese visa on the grounds that as a “Chinese citizen” he did not need one to visit his “own country.” In 1981, the Speaker of Arunachal’s legislature was refused a visa while travelling with an Indian parliamentary delegation because he represented “disputed territory.” Four decades of this. Not a single year in which it became any less absurd. If the visa regime targets people, the renaming campaign targets the land. Since 2017, China’s Ministry of Civil Affairs has been publishing invented Chinese names for places inside Arunachal Pradesh, places that already have names, used by communities who have lived there for centuries, recorded in Indian revenue maps, marked on Indian military charts. Six in 2017. Fifteen in 2021. Eleven in 2023. Thirty in 2024. Twenty-seven in 2025. Twenty-three more on April 10, 2026, including eight mountain passes of direct tactical significance. Over ninety fabricated names for locations inside a state where Indians have voted since 1952 and the Indian Army patrols every single day. MEA Spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal called the latest batch “fictitious” and “mischievous”: Arunachal Pradesh “was, is, and will always remain an integral and inalienable part of India.” The timing is never innocent. The 2017 list followed the Dalai Lama’s visit to Tawang. The 2024 batch came the week Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi inaugurated the Sela Tunnel at 13,000 feet, giving the Indian military all-weather access to the frontier. The 2026 list dropped during active diplomatic re-engagement. Every Indian step that deepens sovereignty in Arunachal is met with a Communist Party of China (CPC) gesture designed to contest it on paper. Why Arunachal? Because this is really about Tibet. The McMahon Line, drawn in 1914 between British India and Tibet, is the boundary India inherited at independence and has administered ever since. China rejects it not because the line is defective but because accepting it would mean conceding that Tibet possessed sovereign authority to negotiate a border, a concession that would crack the foundation of China’s own claim over Tibet. Tawang, home to a seventeenth-century monastery that is the second largest in Tibetan Buddhism, sits at the centre of this contest. The 90,000 square kilometres China claims in the eastern sector serve as a permanent instrument of leverage. Every road, tunnel, election, and troop deployment that deepens Indian reality on the ground becomes, in Beijing’s framing, a provocation, because each one makes the truth a little more irreversible. The simultaneous creation of Cenling County in Xinjiang on March 26, 2026, near Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir, confirms this pressure is orchestrated across the entire frontier. For all this machinery, the returns have been thin. The United States Senate has passed a bipartisan resolution recognising Arunachal as Indian territory and the McMahon Line as the international boundary. No major government treats the state as legitimately disputed. India has responded with the unhurried work of state-building: roads, tunnels, airfields, schools, elections on schedule, courts in session. The democratic infrastructure of an Indian state, functioning in full view, is the most effective rebuttal to a claim sustained by repetition alone. China’s infatuation with Arunachal Pradesh has lasted decades. It has produced invented names, stapled visas, harassed travellers, and blocked athletes. What it has not produced is a single square metre of control or a single convert among the world’s

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Reheating the “Fascist” Leftovers: A Methodological Deconstruction of the TNI “Global Far-Right” Narrative

The Transnational Institute (TNI) report, “Hindutva as a Global Far-Right Project” (Shayan Shaukat, 2026), represents a quintessential exercise in Polemical Historiography. It is a document that uses the veneer of academic/scholarly inquiry to pursue a pre-determined political objective, failing the fundamental tests of Mechanism Demand and Inferential Necessity. By imposing Western socio-political categories – specifically 20th-century European Fascism, Neoliberalism, and Surveillance Capitalism onto a decentralised Indian civilizational phenomenon, the author commits a series of persistent category errors. Additionally, the report appears to have been created, as is the research pre-work, in isolation by compiling publicly available information into a bouquet of tropes. The report does not cite a single first-person interaction or provide even an orthogonal quote, which suggests the ends were established before the means. This essay demonstrates that the “global fascist nexus” described by the TNI is an analytical mirage created by Adversarial Semantic Laundering – a process where organic cultural affinity is recoded as a centralised command-and-control conspiracy. Utilizing the Starfish model in Organisational Theory, we show that the phenomenon is better explained as a distributed, open-source cultural protocol rather than a monolithic “Spider” hierarchy. The following deconstruction identifies the persistent evidentiary voids and logical contradictions that render the TNI’s thesis analytically inert, offering instead a superior/better model grounded in civilizational sociology and state capacity restoration.

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