CIHS – Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies

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Situational Analysis – Indian Students under attack: US should review, revisit & revamp governance norms to ensure their safety

Rohan Giri Indian students have strong inclination to pursue higher education opportunities overseas which is not a one-sided phenomenon. Foreign colleges and universities are also diversifying their curriculum, educational opportunities, job chances, commitments and declarations to attract Indian students. In recent years, America has consistently been most preferred country for Indian students seeking education with international exposure. In 2021, more than 107,000 students of Indian origin were enrolled in American institutions for higher education. This number climbed to 269,000 in 2022–2023 academic year. America has highest number of Indian students and is the top pick for international students from many countries. Enrolments at American institutions has increased by almost 35 percent this year. Given the rising numbers, it is crucial to understand the students’ status, safety, advancement and their impact on the American economy and infrastructure. This situational study will provide insights into benefits America accrues from Indian students and what Indian students are getting in return! (Rohan is a journalism graduate from Indian Institute of Mass Communication (IIMC) New Delhi, and Manager Operations at CIHS.)

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‘Army Out’ Mandate By The Pakistani People

The adage, ‘Pakistan Army is the only army in the world that has never won a war but has never lost an election’ seems poised to manifest yet again. Yet the people’s mandate is unequivocally clear: Army Out. Rahul Pawa Pakistan stands at a critical juncture in its political history, marked by rapid developments and significant electoral ambivalence. On February 8, the country held elections for its 16th National Assembly amidst large-scale allegations of pre-poll rigging and widespread electoral fraud. Despite these challenges, independent candidates backed by the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), founded by Imran Khan, emerged as the leading force, securing nearly 33 million votes despite its jailed founder facing corruption convictions and an ten year ban on holding public office. As the elections unfolded in Pakistan, PTI-backed candidates faced severe repression of political activities, criminalisation of affiliations with PTI, systemic hindrances, and efforts to sideline the party. Nonetheless, it secured 101 seats in the 266-member national legislature and more than 85 percent of the seats in the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, signalling a clear, long held mandate against the Pakistan Army’s involvement in politics. However, the adage “The Pakistan Army is the only army in the world that has never won a war but has never lost an election” seems poised to manifest yet again. Despite trailing in the electoral polls, the Pakistan Army-backed Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), founded by Nawaz Sharif, and the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), founded by Zulfikar Ali Bhutto and currently led by his grandson Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, are well on their way to forming the governing coalition, deepening the challenges for Pakistan’s 241 million people more than ever before. Recent elections in Pakistan have created a stir shaping broader discussion on democracy, governance, and the role of the military in the political sphere. The PML-N—PPP coalition being formulated in the wake of a hung Parliament, highlights the overbearing influence of the Pakistan Army in  in political affairs. The revelation by Rawalpindi Commissioner Liaquat Ali Chattha, asserting the manipulation of election results to favour certain candidates, is not merely an indictment of the electoral process but a clarion call for introspection and reform within Pakistan’s political and judicial systems. The resignation of Commissioner Chattha, coupled with his allegations implicating high-ranking officials in the electoral fraud, paints a grim picture of the challenges facing Pakistani democracy. This apprehension furthered by Pakistan’s Supreme Court’s, as it deliberates on a petition for the annulment of the elections and the court’s decision to proceed with the case, even after the withdrawal of the petition, underscores the gravity of the situation and the imperative for judicial independence and political transparency. Internationally, the response to Pakistan’s electoral controversy has been significant, with lawmakers from the United States expressing concern over the allegations of interference and fraud. The bipartisan calls for investigation into these allegations, along with statements from the US State Department, reflect global implications of Pakistan’s political crisis. Pre-election remarks made by Ajay Bisaria, the Former High Commissioner of India to Pakistan, inject an additional layer of regional concern and scrutiny over the electoral process in Pakistan. His assertion that elections were more akin to a “selection than an election,” with pre-election engineering by Pakistan army to install a preferred government, underscores the apprehension regarding the integrity of Pakistan’s democracy and the pervasive influence of its military in political matters. This critique from a senators and a seasoned diplomat not only reinforces the global and regional voices of dissent and calls for reform but also amplifies the international call for a transparent, free, and fair electoral process in Pakistan is in benefit of the global peace and stability. This recent electoral turmoil in Pakistan transcends mere domestic concerns. It highlights a growing opposition to the long-standing and deep-seated interference of the military in politics, reflecting a worldwide demand for governance that genuinely aligns with the aspirations of the Pakistani people. The establishment of a coalition government, despite PTI’s substantial seat victories, along with global concerns about electoral integrity, marks a significant shift in the consciousness of the Pakistani populace. This shift is towards a mindset that values the nation’s true needs—transparency, accountability, and democratic governance—above the traditional dominance of military power. This movement represents the most forceful ‘Army Out’ sentiment witnessed since the creation of Pakistan following the partition of Earstwhile British India. At this pivotal moment, Pakistan’s choice will not only carve its democratic path but also shape its international persona and influence. The nation is caught between a fervent call for democracy, unencumbered by military influence, and the entrenched power of the Army within its political sphere. This clash presents a formidable obstacle to progress in democracy, diplomacy, and development, spotlighting the military’s indisputable impact on governance. Pakistan’s journey ahead is fraught with complexity, demanding a steadfast commitment to forging a genuinely democratic governance structure. The imperative for Pakistan is clear: to bridge the chasm between current realities and the democratic ideals of its citizens, paving the way for a future where governance reflects the true will of the people. (Author is Research Director at Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies, a New Delhi based non-partisan think tank)

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Explainer: Jammu and Kashmir Sankalp Diwas

In aftermath of India’s independence and subsequent Partition of earstwhile British occupied India, Princely States were vested with the prerogative to decide their accession to either the dominion of India or Pakistan, contingent upon geographical coherence as per Indian Independence Act of 1947. This foundational principle was disrupted on the night of October 22/23, 1947, when Pakistani army along with its rallied tribal raiders initiated a forceful assault on the Princely State of Jammu & Kashmir. Subsequently, Maharaja Hari Singh formally acceded to the dominion of India on October 26, 1947, prompting deployment of the Indian army. Read More….

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India to turn third largest economy sooner!

Turmoil in UK, Germany & Japan, churn in US and China may not impact Bharat’s plans but global headwinds cannot be wished away K.A.Badarinath Three significant developments were reported in last couple days. All the three relating to economy are intrinsically linked and have long lasting impact globally. Japanese economy contracted for two consecutive quarters ending 2023 and reported recession. Embattled United Kingdom has also officially shifted into recession hit zone after last two quarters of 2023. This has had its immediate impact. Japan moved to fourth position in global economic sweepstakes while Germany moved up the rankings to third place. All these were prominently reported in last two days thereby leading to questions on Indian economy’s future as we head for another Lok Sabha elections in next two months. Firstly, United Kingdom moved from stagnation to recession after economic contraction of 0.1 per cent (July – September 2023) and 0.3 per cent (October – December 2023). Loss of appetite for goods and services leading to negative consumer sentiment and political slugfest between Tories and Labour ahead of this year’s elections contributed to the recession that Bank of England and analysts prefer to term as ‘technical’. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak however is gung-ho   about the prospects going forward. Secondly, the curious case of Japan needs significant explanation. Aging population, Negative growth in its numbers for nth year, scarcity of workers impacting output to Yen’s valuation vis-à-vis the US greenback have been identified as major factors. Japan’s economy shrank by 3.3 per cent (July – September 2023) and 0.4 per cent in October – December 2023. Yen depreciation has impacted valuations across the spectrum. During last one year or more, Yen has reported depreciation of 20 per cent against major currencies while its 30 per cent against US dollar. On October 20, 2022, Yen slipped to its worst levels at 150 as against US $. In the last one week, it has been hovering around 104.7 – 105 against the US dollar. Yen depreciation vis-à-vis US dollar is significant given that Japan imports big from United States both food and energy products. Thirdly, Germany moving in as third biggest economy at $ 4.55 trillion as against $ 4.19 trillion of Japan is significant for more than one reasons. While Yen’s continued depreciation played a big part in Japan’s GDP, Germany’s performance on economic front has been modest while dealing with its labour issues, human resources shortages and euro valuations. German economy has had contracted by 0.3 per cent in 2023 while analysts expect a modest positive growth of 0.3 per cent in 2024 followed by 1.2 per cent in 2025. Trade driven recovery may be expected in Germany. But, fingers are crossed given the demand slump internationally and production woes in Germany. There’s a fourth factor that’s discussed intermittently and rather in subdued voices. US, the largest economy, seems to have avoided recession in 2023 with a soft landing and there’s likelihood of slipping into contraction mode this year. Some do suggest that US economy was already on decline owing to high inflation, retail prices though officially there’s no word on it as of now. Fifth big factor is China that has gone through a lot in last several months over a year. Chinese economy, the second largest globally, may expand by 4.6 per cent in 2024 and 4 per cent in 2025. Where does it leave the dragon economy in the Year of Dragon that foresees everything good? Protracted Covid related restrictions have subdued the Chinese economy under President Xi Jingping though officially the economy expanded 5.6 per cent in 2023. International Monetary Fund does not believe these figures and it has its own data points that estimate a much lower expansion. In this backdrop, what happens in India will be more than interesting to watch for both Indians and global populace looking for a straw of support in their struggle to counter the global downturn on economic front. With El Nino receding and monsoon forecast being very positive, India will continue to be the ‘brightest star’ with 6.5 – 7 per cent growth. Apart from being the fastest growing economy, India induced expansion is bound to keep the tide on positive side globally. However, global headwinds cannot be wished away. Russia and Ukraine war is not coming to an end any time now while the second bloody conflict between Hamas and Israel gets only worse. Shipping lines on international waters especially in the Red Sea are impacted thereby safe movement of vessels has been constricted. Also, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has established its own track record, worked independent of Federal Reserve and European Central Bank on the monetary policy issues. Continued strong domestic consumption, expansion in goods & services output coupled with healthy capital inflows – both domestic and foreign – will only keep the Indian economic wheel on even keel. In this backdrop, stable and strong political dispensation lends strength to argue that overtaking both Japan and Germany to become third largest economy globally by 2027 or a wee bit earlier is credible. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has promised within and outside Parliament that Bharat will be third largest economy in his third term with over $ 5 trillion valuation. Strong fundamentals and resilient economic order coupled with a reformer in Prime Minister Modi would help hasten the process. If global upturn happens in next few years as estimated by some economists, then India’s place under the Sun is assured sooner than later. (author is Director & Chief Executive with New Delhi based non-partisan think-tank, Centre for Integrated and Holistic Studies)

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Beyond Brick and Mortar!

Opening of magnificent Hindu mandir in Abu Dhabi mark tectonic shift in India – UAE friendship that’s transcended commercial, diplomatic & strategic issues BAPS Hindu Mandir that rose majestically in Abu Dhabi is a symbol of Middle Eastern tolerance of different faiths and cross-cultural mosaic. This architectural wonder represents harmony and understanding across cultures and is much more than just a place of worship. When Pramukh Swami Maharaj visited United Arab Emirates in 1997, he floated the idea of building a temple in Abu Dhabi that would unite two “countries, closer together by cultures, and religions.” This is how journey to the temple began. In August 2015, UAE government declared that land for a Hindu temple (mandir) would be provided in Abu Dhabi. The land was gifted for mandir (temple) by Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan who was then crown prince of Abu Dhabi & Deputy Supreme commander of UAE Armed force.

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Swami Dayanand Saraswati: Vedic Scholar, Spiritualist, Reformer & Hindu Protagonist!

Hindus and Bharat are celebrating Swami Dayanand Saraswati’s 200th birth anniversary. He’s a renowned vedic scholar, social reformer & founder of Arya Samaj.  He dedicated his life to reviving purity of Vedic teachings and challenging social injustices. Dayanand Saraswati was born as Mool Shankar on February12, 1824 in Tankara, Gujarat to Karshanji Lalji Tiwari and Yashodabai in wealthy and significant Brahmin family. A staunch devotee of Lord Shiva, the young Dayanand Saraswati would stay up all night on Shivratri for prayers. Given his family’s strong beliefs in Hindu faith, Mool Shankar as he was initially known, learnt immense value of fasting, piety, and traditions in his formative years itself. At the age of eight, Mool Shankar was initiated into Brahmanic universe through the (Upanayana Sanskar) Yajnopavita Sanskar, also known as the investiture of the “twice-born”. He would honestly practice these customs.

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‘Familial Story of Violence Perpetrators Masquerading as Victims’

Over the years, Banbhoolpura in Haldwani has shot to fame as a centre for Islamist extremism. Recent history of extremist activities came to fore with violence unleashed on a police station and public transport in 2019, attacks on COVID19 healthcare personnel in 2020 and assaults on Hindus in 2022. The islamist gangs’ ties with drugs and crime apart from violence is a heady mix remenescent of Hollywood thrillers.

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Unique Art & Science That Awes!

Gone are the days of coalition politics where regional parties held the sway that led to protracted policy paralysis? It’s Prime Minister Modi’s leadership that stands out post-2014 Amritpal Kaur/New Delhi Prior to 2014, modus vivendi of Indian electoral politics centred in multiparty coalitions. No single party with all India presence had won a clear majority since 1989. There seemed to be a tacit agreement among political parties on respective regional and national electoral sphere with clear vote-banks and core cadre. India was said to be living in an era of ‘coalition politics’ with sway of regional parties to become ‘kingmakers’ in the national politics. On the one hand this led to increase in regional voices at national level and on the other, it led to what was touted as policy paralysis as then Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh had to become a prisoner to coalition dharma. The chaos that coalition politics created for governance and central administration was acutely visible at policy implementation level. A number of promising policies were held hostage at the hands of regional political leadership which lacked specialization and orientation to fathom national interests beyond petty political gains. This intransigence turned into a nightmare as national parties failed to bring forth accepted leaders in whom people across regions could reposit their faith. This tricky transient situation changed with 2014 general elections. Prime Minister Modi rose on the national horizon with a clear mandate and secured comfortable majority, a feat that had almost became subject matter of electoral lore of a bygone era. This feat was achieved mainly due to a fundamental difference between Prime Minister Modi and his competitors i.e. the conviction and perception of Modi in the minds of people. He has successfully put forth the image of an efficient and honest administrator and a reformer with the concern for public at heart. What is refreshing about Prime Minister Modi is the fact that he exuberate confidence and reinstates it in general masses about India’s future. At policy level, a few commentators put Modi’s politics to the left of right wing on political spectrum. This was reached derived due to his unequivocal clarity on policy reforms. After all being said and done, what matters is development and reforms done on the ground that directly impacts people’s lives and is not just ‘business as usual’. Prime Minister Modi has been able to achieve it. What has helped him is the clear majority in both houses of Parliament. Pressure of ‘coalition dharma’ is not on his shoulders and it has allowed him to streamline governance, its aims and goals far more clearly. This phenomenon coupled with his track record as an administrator has enabled Prime Minister Modi to build his own political capital which has stood in good stead for him in consecutive general elections. There is no pied piper effect here but a genuine belief of majority Indians that given the variety of leaders in the present generation Prime Minister Modi is primus inter pares. The faith reposited in the present government is unprecedented, probably to be matched only by the premiership of Pt. Nehru or Smt Indira Gandhi. However, the crucial difference between Nehru and Modi is that Nehru rode on latent political capital of Indian National Congress that came fresh out of British colonial rule. On the contrary,  Modi had generated his political capital in part from his days as a ground level political activist and three-term tenure as chief Minister of Gujarat and partly on the account of the severe anti-incumbency effect for the previous regime. Last ten years have been watershed era for Indian administration as much as Indian politics that revolves around regional parties and national coalitions. The Government under Prime Minister Modi has brought in a number of long-pending reforms in different facets of Indian political economy with far reaching impact. Goods and Services tax (GST) is a good example of success of Prime Minister Modi’s regime. Though the work for the unified and harmonized pan Indian tax system was in the pipeline for over two decades, yet this revolutionary tax regime could not see light of the day simply because there was no clear majority for any one party or likeminded parties in the Centre. From modified value added tax to GST has been a long and arduous journey because it directly addressed the issue of fiscal federalism, the Centre and the states needed to work in tandem. The GST also entailed a complex interplay of rules at various levels of governance, which in a frank assessment was a Himalayan task for any government in best of the circumstances. That central government under Prime Minister Modi was able to achieve it, speaks volumes about its acumen to overcome policy paralysis, a quality essential to ensure overall development of the country. It is said that proof of the pudding is in eating and in many ways Indian economy is reaping benefits of the GST system. As the latest data shows, in December 2023, GST collection rose year-on-year by 12 per cent with record monthly collection of Rs 1.66 Lakh crore.  Initial modest projection of achieving Rs 100,000 crore monthly was surpassed big time. The data makes a couple of irrefutable claims. One, the initial hiccups in indirect taxes system in India is now over and we are looking at a well-oiled machine. Secondly, the country realized one nation one tax system. The unified economic structure will enable Indian economy to escape the systemic velocity of a diffused and myriad tax structure. Another outstanding feature of Indian economic reforms in last decade is introduction of JAM trinity which became the conduit of digitization of Indian economy. In six years, JAM trinity which includes Jan Dhan Yojana, Aadhar Card and Mobile phone has changed the contours of India’s retail economy in the context of money transactions. The feats that it achieved includes financial inclusion of various segments of population especially women who hold 260 million accounts under Jan Dhan Yojana

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France, Bharat’s Dependable Strategic European Ally

More than just a symbolic visit, French President Emmanuel Macron’s Republic Day visit to India as chief guest was significant. President Macron made a decisive step to fortify the strategic and deep affinity ties between France and India during his trip to Jaipur and New Delhi. President Macron’s visit was a turning point that demonstrated deepening diplomatic, economic, and cultural linkages between the two countries. Beyond the symbolic acts of solidarity that were observed during the Republic Day celebrations, the visit provided both countries with an opportunity to explore ways to improve cooperation in a range of fields, opening the door for a more robust and durable relationship. Enhancing Strategic Partnership: France and India have been actively working to strengthen their strategic alliance in a number of areas.  Historically, the two countries have cooperated in the fields of commerce, space exploration, defence, and cultural exchanges. In an extraordinary move, Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) has acquired all of the jet engine technology from French aerospace giant Safran that has greatly enhanced India’s capability for defence manufacture. Strengthening Defence Links: In order to increase domestic helicopter manufacturing and potentially open the door for future military cooperation, Indian private conglomerate Tatas has partnered with Airbus Helicopters to manufacture civilian helicopters in India. France and India work together on a number of defence initiatives and have a strong defence cooperation. One of the major turning points in their defence relationship was the purchase of the Rafale fighter plane. Space Cooperation: The French Space Agency (CNES) and the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) have worked together on a number of space projects. There has been cooperation in areas such as satellite technology, Earth observation, and space research. Economic and Trade Ties: Economic and trade relations between India and France have been growing steadily. Both nations have been looking for ways to increase their economic cooperation, including investing in fields like technology, infrastructure, and renewable energy. Nuclear Energy: France has been a key partner in India’s civil nuclear programme. India-France has signed agreements pertaining to the peaceful use of nuclear energy. Cultural Exchanges: Cultural ties between India and France have been fostered through various initiatives including academic collaborations, language programmes and cultural events. International Issues: India and France frequently work together on international problems such as UN reforms, counterterrorism, and climate change. The two countries have a stake in upholding an international system based on laws. Educational and Cultural interaction: India actively participates in educational and cultural exchanges on a national and international scale because of its rich history, multiple cultures, and rapidly growing economy. By 2027, France hopes to have 30,000 Indian students enrolled in its universities, encouraging greater scholarly exchange and knowledge sharing. The coming year, i.e., 2025 will be proclaimed as the “India-France Year of Innovation,” exhibiting collaborative initiatives in cutting-edge fields including renewable energy, artificial intelligence, and space research. Educational Interaction: 1. Diversity in Education: India has an extensive selection of educational options, including modern schools, elite institutions, and traditional Gurukul systems. The educational landscape is a reflection of the fusion of contemporary knowledge and old wisdom. 2. International Cooperation: Indian educational establishments regularly participate in alliances and cooperative ventures with overseas colleges and establishments. This promotes a global learning environment by facilitating the exchange of faculty, students, and research. 3. Technology and Innovation: India is fast becoming as a hub for these two fields. Collaborations between international digital giants and academic institutions have resulted from the focus on STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics) disciplines. 4. Study Abroad Opportunities: A large number of Indian students travel overseas to seek higher education, which promotes information sharing throughout the world. India’s high standard of education and wide range of cultural experiences have made it a popular choice for overseas students as well. Cultural Interaction: 1. Cultural Diversity: India is renowned for its wide range of customs, languages, dances, music genres, and artistic expressions. Through partnerships, festivals, and cultural events, this diversity is exhibited on a worldwide scale. 2. International events: To foster appreciation and knowledge of other cultures, India actively takes part in and organises international cultural events. Cross-cultural exchanges take place on stages such as music festivals, art shows, and film festivals. 3. Cultural diplomacy: To strengthen relations with foreign countries, the Indian government practices cultural diplomacy. This entails promoting appreciation and understanding between people by presenting Indian literature, music, dance, and art around the world. 4. Tourism: Travellers from all over the world are drawn to India by its rich cultural legacy. The historical sites, temples, and celebrations offer a direct glimpse into India’s rich cultural heritage. Beyond the Headlines: India and France have maintained diplomatic relations for decades, and their ties extend beyond just political and economic aspects. By highlighting their common strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific area, both nations reiterated their commitment to maritime security and counterterrorism.  Talks also centered on expanding commerce and investment, especially in digital technology, sustainable solutions, and infrastructure development. 1. Strategic Partnership: India and France declared a “Strategic Partnership” in 1998, signifying the growing importance of their relationship. This partnership covers various sectors, including defense, security, and space cooperation. 2. Defence and Security Cooperation: Defence ties between India and France have strengthened significantly. The procurement of Rafale fighter jets from France by India is a notable example of defence cooperation. The Rafale deal, signed in 2016 and finalized in 2019, is one of the largest defence deals between the two countries. 3. Space Cooperation: The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) and the French space agency CNES (Centre National d’Études Spatiales) have collaborated on various space missions. Both countries have shown interest in joint satellite launches and other space-related projects. 4. Cultural and Educational Exchanges: Beyond politics and economics, India and France have also promoted cultural exchanges. Educational ties have been strengthened through student exchange programs and collaborations between universities. 5. Economic Cooperation: Economic cooperation between India and France has grown steadily. Both countries have shown interest in enhancing trade and investment. France has been supportive of India’s

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Primer: Centuries of Perseverance; Ayodhya’s Ram Janmabhoomi Temple

The Pran Pratishtha, also known as the inauguration ceremony, of the Ram Janmabhoomi Temple in Ayodhya on January 22, 2024 will mark the end of a centuries-long wait. The wait began in 1528-29 CE with the construction of the Babri structure atop Shri Ram’s temple by the Mughal ruler Babur, and will finally culminate in the construction of the majestic temple. This journey has been filled with perseverance, resilience and maturity, demonstrating the enduring spirit of the Bharatiya people. It is a testament to the fact that the drive to build a brighter future for Bharat is rooted in the principles of peace, rule of law and mutual respect.

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